Paraná vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
CRZ
0 - 1
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
FLA
1 - 1
PAR
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAN
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOT
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
PAY
3 - 4
PAR
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
VAS
2 - 1
ATM
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2005 |
PAY
0 - 2
VAS
41%
23%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
FLU
3 - 2
VAS
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
VAS
3 - 2
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2005 |
ATP
7 - 2
VAS
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |