Série A . Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Paraná vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
VAS
3 - 1
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
GOI
0 - 3
PAR
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2000 |
PAR
1 - 1
GOI
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2000 |
PAR
0 - 2
CRZ
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
PAR
2 - 1
AME
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2000 |
VAS
2 - 0
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
VAS
3 - 1
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2000 |
RIV
0 - 1
VAS
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2000 |
VAS
3 - 2
BAH
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
BAH
3 - 3
VAS
38%
25%
36%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |