Paraná vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 1
AMF
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ASA
1 - 4
PAR
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FFL
1 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 1
PAY
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 2
OES
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 1
SAO
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
AMF
0 - 0
AVA
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
JEC
1 - 2
AVA
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 4
PAL
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
AVA
3 - 1
ICA
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |