Paragominas vs Independiente PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paragominas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
PAR
31%
24%
44%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 0
CAS
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 2
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 2
PAY
16%
20%
65%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
GAV
1 - 3
PAR
23%
23%
55%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
PAY
15%
20%
65%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAM
3 - 1
IND
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
IND
0 - 0
PAR
64%
20%
15%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TAP
1 - 2
IND
18%
21%
61%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
IND
22%
22%
57%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |