Paracatu vs Luziânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
54.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
85%
11%
4%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 3
PAR
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 1
GAM
9%
17%
74%
|
32 | 63 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 0
GUA
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luziânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
LUZ
1 - 0
SAN
81%
13%
7%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
GAM
1 - 4
LUZ
82%
13%
6%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
LUZ
2 - 0
GUA
62%
19%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
BRA
1 - 0
LUZ
82%
13%
6%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |