Champions League . Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Panathinaikos vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
49.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
PAO
2 - 2
PAN
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
PAN
1 - 1
OLP
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2002 |
PAN
2 - 2
RMA
9%
18%
73%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
PAN
2 - 1
IRA
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2002 |
FCP
2 - 1
PAN
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
FCB
1 - 1
UDL
77%
14%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
VAD
1 - 2
FCB
27%
26%
47%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2002 |
GAL
0 - 1
FCB
24%
23%
54%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
FCB
1 - 1
RMA
48%
23%
29%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2002 |
FCB
0 - 0
LIV
59%
21%
20%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |