Palmeiras vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
PAL
0 - 2
GUA
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
FFL
0 - 1
PAL
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 0
PAY
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 3
PAL
41%
25%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
PAL
2 - 1
BOT
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ATM
6 - 1
FLA
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
FLA
1 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
FLA
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |