Palmeiras vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 2
PAL
19%
24%
57%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 1
MOG
68%
21%
12%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
RBB
2 - 0
PAL
20%
23%
57%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 0
SAO
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
PAL
18%
23%
59%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 3
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAO
16%
23%
62%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 0
ITU
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
RBB
1 - 0
BOT
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |