Palmeiras vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1978 |
RIV
1 - 3
PAL
23%
27%
50%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
FOR
1 - 1
PAL
31%
31%
38%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1978 |
MOT
1 - 0
PAL
23%
27%
51%
|
90 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
PAL
2 - 1
COM
79%
14%
8%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1978 |
PAL
6 - 0
SAM
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1978 |
ATM
2 - 2
AME
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
AME
0 - 1
PPE
26%
29%
45%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
RIV
3 - 2
AME
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1978 |
FOR
1 - 0
AME
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
COM
0 - 1
AME
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |