Palmeiras vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2008 |
SCI
4 - 1
PAL
39%
28%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
PAL
1 - 0
COT
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
VAS
3 - 1
PAL
45%
25%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 0
PAL
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
PAL
3 - 0
VIT
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
POR
0 - 1
VAS
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
FFL
2 - 1
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
POR
2 - 1
CRZ
24%
25%
52%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 0
POR
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
GOI
4 - 0
POR
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |