Palestino vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
42.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
UCO
1 - 0
PAL
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
PAL
2 - 1
HUA
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
PAL
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
PAL
2 - 2
SAN
44%
24%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 6
PAL
52%
22%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
UCO
4 - 1
OHI
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
EVE
1 - 1
UCO
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
UCO
1 - 0
UCO
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 1
COB
61%
21%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
UCO
5 - 3
DEP
86%
10%
4%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |