Palestino vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
GAR
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 0
SWA
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
EVE
1 - 2
PAL
22%
27%
52%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
GAR
2 - 2
PAL
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 4
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 0
FFL
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 1
FLA
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 1
PPE
54%
24%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
3 - 1
FFL
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |