Palermo FC vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ASC
0 - 0
PAL
28%
27%
46%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 1
LEO
73%
19%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 0
PRG
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
USF
1 - 1
PAL
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
PAL
3 - 3
EMP
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 2
SAL
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
VNZ
0 - 1
PAR
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 2
EMP
26%
28%
46%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
PRG
3 - 0
PAR
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRE
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |