Palermo FC vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
USF
1 - 1
PAL
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
PAL
2 - 0
RAV
57%
25%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
VNZ
3 - 1
PAL
46%
29%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
PAL
0 - 1
EMP
57%
26%
17%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
PAD
4 - 0
PAL
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
LEC
1 - 1
BAR
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
USC
0 - 1
LEC
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
LEC
3 - 1
CHI
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
GEN
2 - 0
LEC
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
LEC
2 - 0
EMP
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |