Palermo FC vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
26.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1965 |
PAL
1 - 0
CAT
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
NAP
2 - 1
PAL
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
PAL
0 - 0
REG
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
PAL
1 - 1
VER
45%
30%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
LEC
3 - 0
PAL
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
MOD
0 - 0
FCC
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
FCC
0 - 1
VER
47%
28%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
FCC
0 - 1
VNZ
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
POT
1 - 1
FCC
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
FCC
1 - 0
TRI
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |