Palermo FC vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
EMP
1 - 1
PAL
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 0
MOD
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 2
PAL
33%
28%
40%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 0
TER
79%
15%
6%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
PAL
18%
27%
56%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
PAD
1 - 4
CAR
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 1
PAD
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 1
PAD
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
PAD
2 - 2
SIE
21%
27%
53%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
PES
1 - 0
PAD
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |