Palencia vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
19%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
CFP
1 - 0
RUN
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
RSO
0 - 1
CFP
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
CFP
1 - 0
EIB
23%
29%
48%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
CFP
1 - 1
LEM
46%
29%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
VAL
0 - 2
CFP
35%
29%
36%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
VAL
1 - 3
ALF
43%
26%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
ALF
0 - 1
LOG
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
UNI
2 - 2
ALF
42%
27%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
ALF
2 - 1
OVI
33%
30%
36%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
AMU
1 - 1
ALF
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |