Pagny Sur Moselle Sub 19 vs Bourg-en-Bresse Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
59%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+214%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
13º
13º
31
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
6º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
75% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagny Sur Moselle Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CLE
1 - 2
PAG
82%
11%
7%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 2
ORL
19%
20%
61%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
OLY
3 - 1
PAG
86%
9%
5%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AUX
2 - 1
PAG
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PAG
1 - 3
PAR
16%
19%
65%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bourg-en-Bresse Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BBP
1 - 0
SOC
22%
21%
57%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BBP
1 - 2
CLE
31%
22%
48%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BOB
3 - 1
BBP
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BBP
2 - 0
ORL
40%
23%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 2
BBP
81%
12%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |