Paganese vs Trapani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
65.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 0
PAG
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
PAG
2 - 2
MAT
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
RIE
4 - 1
PAG
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 1
USV
23%
26%
52%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
4 - 1
PAG
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 0
REN
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
RPO
1 - 1
TRA
23%
26%
52%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 2
JUS
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 2
TRA
21%
25%
55%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
TRA
3 - 1
FRA
73%
17%
9%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |