Paganese vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
37.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
PIS
3 - 0
PAG
74%
18%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
PAG
0 - 1
LEC
9%
20%
72%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FRO
2 - 1
PAG
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PAG
0 - 1
ACP
37%
30%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FCV
0 - 1
PAG
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SSB
2 - 2
LAQ
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LEC
0 - 0
SSB
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SSB
0 - 2
SAL
44%
26%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FRO
1 - 0
SSB
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SSB
0 - 2
ACP
55%
25%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |