Paganese vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
53.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
TER
3 - 1
PAG
77%
16%
8%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
PAG
1 - 3
CAS
36%
26%
39%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
RPO
1 - 0
PAG
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PAG
1 - 4
USF
14%
23%
63%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
PAG
0 - 3
MON
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
FCC
0 - 0
VIT
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 0
RPO
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
FCC
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CAT
1 - 1
FCC
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
FCC
2 - 2
JUS
44%
27%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |