Paderborn vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
FCU
1 - 1
PAD
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
PAD
2 - 1
SGD
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
KSC
4 - 0
PAD
44%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
PAD
4 - 1
BOC
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MUN
2 - 2
PAD
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
STP
0 - 0
ING
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
F95
0 - 2
STP
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FSV
1 - 0
STP
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
STP
2 - 1
FCU
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SGD
1 - 2
STP
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |