Primeira Liga . Jor. 31

Paços de Ferreira vs Vitória Guimarães analysis

Paços de Ferreira Vitória Guimarães
65 ELO 68
-8.7% Tilt -9.2%
1744º General ELO ranking 288º
29º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.7%
Paços de Ferreira
27.3%
Draw
30%
Vitória Guimarães

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
Paços de Ferreira
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30%
Win probability
Vitória Guimarães
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paços de Ferreira
+10%
+7%
Vitória Guimarães

ELO progression

Paços de Ferreira
Vitória Guimarães
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paços de Ferreira
Paços de Ferreira
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2004
SLB
Benfica
2 - 1
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
74%
18%
8%
65 86 21 0
04 Apr. 2004
PAÇ
Paços de Ferreira
1 - 2
União de Leiria
UDL
33%
27%
40%
65 74 9 0
27 Mar. 2004
SCP
Sporting CP
1 - 0
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
70%
20%
10%
66 85 19 -1
21 Mar. 2004
PAÇ
Paços de Ferreira
1 - 0
Estrela Amadora
EST
63%
22%
15%
65 56 9 +1
13 Mar. 2004
SPB
Sporting Braga
2 - 1
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
61%
23%
17%
66 73 7 -1

Matches

Vitória Guimarães
Vitória Guimarães
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2004
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
2 - 0
Rio Ave
RIO
43%
27%
31%
68 73 5 0
02 Apr. 2004
ALV
FC Alverca
0 - 1
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
47%
26%
28%
67 64 3 +1
28 Mar. 2004
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
2 - 0
Beira Mar SC
BMA
47%
26%
27%
66 68 2 +1
19 Mar. 2004
MAR
Marítimo
1 - 1
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
59%
24%
17%
66 74 8 0
14 Mar. 2004
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
0 - 2
Gil Vicente
GFC
50%
25%
25%
67 68 1 -1
X