Paços de Ferreira vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
61.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 2
PAÇ
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
ACA
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
POR
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 1
PAÇ
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PAÇ
0 - 3
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 0
RIO
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2003 |
ALV
1 - 2
FCP
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
FCP
3 - 0
MAI
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
FCP
3 - 0
BMA
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
RMA
1 - 1
FCP
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |