Paços de Ferreira vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.5%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.6%
3.2%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
ARO
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 0
PAÇ
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2014 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
PAÇ
9 - 0
ATL
90%
8%
2%
|
79 | 34 | 45 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 1
PAÇ
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
RIB
0 - 1
FAM
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FAM
3 - 0
AMA
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VIZ
0 - 1
FAM
59%
24%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FAM
4 - 0
FAF
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FAM
0 - 1
FEL
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |