Torneo Regional Federal Amateur . 1/16
Global 8-1
Pacífico Gral. Alvear vs Pilares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pacífico Gral. Alvear
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
CAP
0 - 6
PAC
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PAC
3 - 0
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 1
PAC
33%
25%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
PDL
1 - 1
PAC
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PAC
2 - 1
CAP
49%
22%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Pilares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
CAP
0 - 6
PAC
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
GUT
1 - 3
CAP
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CAP
0 - 0
GUT
18%
23%
59%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PAC
2 - 1
CAP
49%
22%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -3 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
CAP
0 - 1
SSC
68%
17%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |