Oza Juvenil S.D. vs Atlético dos Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oza Juvenil S.D.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 5
OZA
22%
21%
56%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
OZA
0 - 1
COR
30%
22%
48%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 2
OZA
22%
21%
57%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
OZA
4 - 1
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SIQ
2 - 1
OZA
34%
23%
44%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético dos Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
REL
28%
21%
51%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TOR
5 - 2
CAS
84%
10%
6%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
8 - 3
SAR
41%
22%
37%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ESP
5 - 3
CAS
64%
19%
17%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 7
CIU
18%
19%
63%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |