Oxford United vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BPO
0 - 0
OXF
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
OXF
1 - 1
FOR
59%
22%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
OXF
1 - 1
HUL
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
OXF
0 - 0
IPS
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
OXF
1 - 2
SWI
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CRE
2 - 1
NOR
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
EXE
1 - 2
NOR
55%
22%
24%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 2
DON
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 0
FLE
23%
27%
51%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 1
NOR
34%
25%
41%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |