Oxford United vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 0
OXF
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
OXF
0 - 0
YOR
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
WYC
2 - 3
OXF
60%
24%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
OXF
2 - 1
CUM
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
STF
2 - 0
OXF
60%
24%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
STE
2 - 1
NOR
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 1
CAM
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 2
NOR
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 1
LUT
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BCF
2 - 1
NOR
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |