Ovetense vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CRI
2 - 2
OVE
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OVE
1 - 2
SPT
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CDL
0 - 1
OVE
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
OVE
2 - 0
DEP
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
OVE
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
FER
7 - 0
SPO
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
RES
1 - 0
FER
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 0
FER
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FER
2 - 1
IND
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 2
FER
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |