Ourol SD vs Goiriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ourol SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 5
OUR
57%
21%
23%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OUR
2 - 1
CSA
51%
22%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CAZ
0 - 1
OUR
61%
20%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OUR
1 - 0
FON
49%
22%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 5
OUR
41%
23%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Goiriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
GOI
3 - 0
CAZ
48%
22%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FON
1 - 1
GOI
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GOI
4 - 0
CEL
56%
21%
24%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 1
GOI
38%
23%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 0
SRO
53%
22%
26%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |