Ottawa Fury vs Miami FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 1
OTT
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
OTT
1 - 2
JAC
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
OTT
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
OTT
2 - 0
TAM
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
OTT
2 - 0
CAR
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Miami FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
RAY
1 - 2
MIA
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MIA
0 - 2
FOR
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 4
MIA
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MIA
2 - 1
IND
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 3
MIA
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |