Ottawa Fury vs Edmonton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
38.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
OTT
1 - 0
IND
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
OTT
0 - 0
TAM
34%
25%
42%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
NYC
1 - 0
OTT
63%
23%
14%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
EDM
3 - 1
OTT
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
OTT
1 - 3
FOR
40%
25%
36%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Edmonton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
EDM
4 - 2
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
EDM
1 - 2
VAN
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
EDM
2 - 3
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
VAN
1 - 1
EDM
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NYC
4 - 2
EDM
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |