Otago University vs South City Royals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
OTU
1 - 0
WNK
61%
18%
21%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
MOS
7 - 1
OTU
44%
21%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -3 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
NAF
2 - 1
OTU
6%
12%
82%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
OTU
4 - 2
ROW
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
QUE
1 - 2
OTU
34%
21%
45%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
South City Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
SCR
2 - 0
ROW
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
WNK
2 - 1
SCR
24%
20%
56%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
ROW
1 - 3
SCR
30%
21%
48%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
SCR
2 - 0
QUE
69%
16%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
MOS
2 - 3
SCR
50%
21%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |