Ostia Mare vs Rieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
70%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NUO
3 - 2
OST
37%
26%
37%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
OST
2 - 2
TRA
30%
26%
44%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MON
3 - 0
OST
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
OST
3 - 0
ANZ
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 0
OST
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BUD
0 - 1
RIE
10%
20%
70%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
RIE
0 - 1
MON
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NUO
0 - 0
RIE
9%
19%
73%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
RIE
2 - 0
LAN
82%
12%
6%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 1
RIE
20%
23%
56%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |