Ostia Mare vs Nuorese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
OST
2 - 0
NUO
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
TRA
2 - 3
OST
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
OST
2 - 1
LAN
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
OST
0 - 0
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ANZ
1 - 1
OST
21%
24%
56%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nuorese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
OST
2 - 0
NUO
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NUO
1 - 1
BUD
50%
25%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
RIE
5 - 1
NUO
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
NUO
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
NUO
0 - 0
LRO
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |