Orpesa vs CF Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
39.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orpesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
ORP
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ORP
2 - 0
IBA
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ORP
1 - 0
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ORP
1 - 0
POB
76%
15%
10%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ORP
5 - 4
BOR
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CF Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
4 - 0
MAT
78%
14%
9%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 6
ALC
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ALC
5 - 1
BEN
65%
19%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
ALC
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 1
PED
53%
21%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |