Aral Nukus vs Oqtepa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
ORO
1 - 3
PAK
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
QOQ
4 - 0
ORO
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
AND
7 - 1
ORO
84%
12%
5%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
SUR
0 - 0
ORO
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 0
ORO
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Oqtepa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
XOR
5 - 1
OQT
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
OQT
2 - 1
MAS
22%
26%
53%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
OQT
2 - 0
SPA
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
OQT
0 - 1
FKY
52%
22%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
OQT
2 - 0
IST
62%
20%
19%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |