National round 27

Orléans vs QRM analysis

Orléans QRM
71 ELO 70
5.5% Tilt -11.8%
1516º General ELO ranking 1618º
43º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
48.9%
Orléans
25%
Draw
26.1%
QRM

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
Orléans
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.1%
Win probability
QRM
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Orléans
-9%
-11%
QRM

Points and table prediction

Orléans
Their league position
QRM
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
40
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Nancy
65
65
100%
Le Mans
58
58
100%
US Boulogne
56
56
100%
Dijon FCO
47
47
100%
Bourg-Péronnas
46
46
100%
Aubagne
45
45
0%
Orléans
45
45
0%
Concarneau
42
42
100%
Valenciennes
42
42
100%
FC Rouen 1899
10º
40
40
10º
100%
QRM
11º
40
40
11º
100%
Sochaux
12º
38
38
12º
100%
Versailles
13º
36
36
13º
100%
Paris 13 Atletico
14º
35
35
14º
100%
Villefranche
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Chateauroux
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Nîmes
17º
28
28
17º
100%
Expected probabilities
Orléans
QRM
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Orléans
QRM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Orléans
Orléans
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2025
BOU
Bourg-Péronnas
0 - 0
Orléans
ORL
35%
28%
37%
71 65 6 0
14 Mar. 2025
ORL
Orléans
1 - 1
US Boulogne
USB
56%
24%
21%
71 67 4 0
07 Mar. 2025
DIJ
Dijon FCO
2 - 2
Orléans
ORL
49%
27%
25%
71 71 0 0
28 Feb. 2025
ORL
Orléans
4 - 2
Sochaux
SOC
41%
27%
33%
70 74 4 +1
21 Feb. 2025
VIL
Villefranche
2 - 0
Orléans
ORL
41%
28%
31%
70 67 3 0

Matches

QRM
QRM
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2025
QUE
QRM
1 - 0
Aubagne
AUB
53%
26%
21%
69 66 3 0
14 Mar. 2025
ASN
Nancy
4 - 1
QRM
QUE
48%
25%
27%
70 70 0 -1
07 Mar. 2025
QUE
QRM
1 - 0
Paris 13 Atletico
GOB
54%
25%
21%
69 65 4 +1
28 Feb. 2025
LMU
Le Mans
2 - 1
QRM
QUE
49%
26%
26%
70 72 2 -1
14 Feb. 2025
QUE
QRM
1 - 2
Chateauroux
CHA
59%
23%
18%
70 61 9 0