Orlando Pirates vs Marumo Gallants FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
20.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
8º
2º
29
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SSU
0 - 0
PIR
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
RKF
0 - 1
PIR
38%
28%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PIR
0 - 1
CHI
56%
27%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 1
PIR
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PIR
1 - 0
SWA
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Marumo Gallants FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
RKF
2 - 2
MIL
51%
28%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MIL
1 - 1
GOL
32%
29%
39%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
RIB
0 - 0
MIL
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MIL
0 - 0
SFC
32%
29%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SUN
2 - 1
MIL
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |