USL Championship round 16

Orlando City vs Wilmington Hammerheads analysis

Orlando City Wilmington Hammerheads
68 ELO 52
16.8% Tilt 7.4%
186º General ELO ranking 26477º
Country ELO ranking 339º
ELO win probability
69.7%
Orlando City
18.4%
Draw
11.9%
Wilmington Hammerheads

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
Orlando City
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.9%
Win probability
Wilmington Hammerheads
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Orlando City
Wilmington Hammerheads
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Orlando City
Orlando City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2014
ORL
Orlando City
3 - 0
Ventura County
LAG
76%
16%
8%
67 48 19 0
22 Jun. 2014
DAY
Dayton Dutch Lions
0 - 2
Orlando City
ORL
17%
24%
59%
67 42 25 0
18 Jun. 2014
COR
Colorado Rapids
5 - 2
Orlando City
ORL
59%
22%
19%
68 75 7 -1
12 Jun. 2014
ORL
Orlando City
4 - 1
Orange County SC
ORA
74%
17%
9%
67 50 17 +1
08 Jun. 2014
ORL
Orlando City
2 - 1
77%
16%
8%
67 47 20 0

Matches

Wilmington Hammerheads
Wilmington Hammerheads
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jun. 2014
WIL
Wilmington Hammerheads
2 - 2
Chicago Fire Reservas
CHI
55%
23%
22%
52 49 3 0
15 Jun. 2014
RIC
Richmond Kickers
2 - 2
Wilmington Hammerheads
WIL
60%
22%
18%
52 59 7 0
07 Jun. 2014
WIL
Wilmington Hammerheads
2 - 2
OKC Energy
OKC
64%
21%
16%
52 44 8 0
24 May. 2014
WIL
Wilmington Hammerheads
5 - 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
PIT
56%
23%
21%
51 47 4 +1
18 May. 2014
WIL
Wilmington Hammerheads
1 - 0
Charleston Battery
CHA
42%
26%
33%
50 55 5 +1