Orillamar SD vs SE Abella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orillamar SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
SDC
3 - 1
ORI
57%
21%
23%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 0
CED
44%
23%
33%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 0
ORI
34%
23%
43%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 1
ORI
33%
24%
44%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ORI
4 - 0
MIN
26%
23%
51%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
SE Abella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
EST
1 - 3
ASP
40%
25%
36%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
EST
1 - 3
SDC
15%
19%
67%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CED
3 - 0
EST
67%
19%
15%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
EST
4 - 1
CAM
21%
23%
56%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MIN
1 - 0
EST
79%
14%
7%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |