Orillamar SD vs Maravillas S.D. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orillamar SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
6 - 2
ORI
75%
15%
10%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ORI
1 - 3
VIC
13%
18%
69%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
ORI
72%
16%
12%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
OLI
5 - 2
ORI
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ORI
3 - 4
CED
52%
22%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Maravillas S.D.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 2
IMP
51%
22%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 0
MAR
59%
20%
22%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
UDC
18%
19%
63%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 3
BOI
22%
21%
57%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CDM
2 - 1
MAR
39%
23%
38%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |