Oriental vs Platense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ALT
0 - 6
ORI
20%
21%
59%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
PLA
2 - 3
CSY
41%
22%
36%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
PLA
4 - 2
POT
43%
23%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
REN
2 - 0
PLA
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +10 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
PLA
0 - 2
DUR
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
PLA
0 - 2
BAS
41%
27%
33%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |