Oriental Lisboa vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
ORI
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ORI
2 - 3
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
OEI
0 - 4
ORI
22%
24%
55%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 0
ORI
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ORI
5 - 0
PIN
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
LOU
3 - 1
SER
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FAT
0 - 1
LOU
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 0
MAF
21%
26%
53%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LOU
0 - 2
1DE
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
LOU
70%
18%
13%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |