Oriental Lisboa vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ORI
0 - 2
AVE
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FEI
2 - 2
ORI
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ORI
0 - 4
SCP
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 2
CHA
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ACV
0 - 2
ORI
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TON
0 - 1
EST
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
SPB
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
FCP
2 - 0
EST
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
MOR
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SLB
4 - 0
EST
75%
16%
8%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |