Orcasitas vs Aguilas del Lucero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
49%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+136%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orcasitas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
ORC
1 - 5
PKP
32%
23%
45%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
FER
5 - 4
ORC
55%
21%
24%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ORC
0 - 1
EFC
9%
16%
76%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PIQ
5 - 0
ORC
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ORC
3 - 1
PAA
34%
24%
42%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Aguilas del Lucero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
ADL
3 - 3
BVC
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
GIG
8 - 0
ADL
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ADL
7 - 4
LMA
17%
19%
64%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ADL
0 - 0
LCB
33%
23%
45%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ALU
3 - 2
ADL
72%
16%
12%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |