Orbit College vs Baroka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
61.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
9º
9º
47
2º
15º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
63% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orbit College
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
ORC
75%
17%
8%
|
22 | 66 | 44 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
NBM
1 - 2
ORC
80%
14%
7%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ORC
0 - 1
VFA
12%
20%
68%
|
20 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PCF
0 - 1
ORC
74%
18%
8%
|
19 | 56 | 37 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ORC
3 - 2
MIL
15%
23%
62%
|
18 | 66 | 48 | +1 |
Matches
Baroka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
HLF
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 2
MIL
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 13 | 47 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 1
BAR
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 0
BLA
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VFA
0 - 1
BAR
37%
29%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |