Oranje Wit vs DUNO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
39%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
11º
9º
29
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 29 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
93% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
11º
|
93% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oranje Wit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SLI
4 - 1
ORA
49%
21%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ORA
2 - 1
ALM
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BEN
3 - 2
ORA
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ORA
2 - 1
SVW
87%
9%
5%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 5
ORA
24%
20%
56%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
DUNO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 1
DZC
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NIV
1 - 0
DUN
29%
22%
49%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 2
SVL
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
SLI
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
DUN
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |