Oppsal vs Ørn Horten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
11º
4º
33
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 52 |
2º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 44 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 42 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 40 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 38 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 38 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 30 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 29 |
11º
|
45% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
40% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 19 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 98% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oppsal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
SGR
5 - 2
OPP
24%
21%
55%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
OPP
4 - 2
IFR
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
SAR
1 - 1
OPP
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
OPP
2 - 3
KVI
29%
24%
48%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
OPP
0 - 1
KJE
12%
20%
68%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2025 |
ORN
1 - 1
FRA
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ORN
2 - 0
IFL
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
IFR
1 - 3
ORN
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
ORN
0 - 2
SDF
7%
13%
80%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ORN
6 - 2
FFK
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |